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How the AXIS Score Works

AFRICAN X-RAY INTELLIGENCE SYSTEM · V1.0

The AXIS Score is a reproducible 0–100 composite of eight named World Bank indicators. It measures infrastructure capacity, fiscal and policy capacity, monetary resilience, and resource endowment with domestic value capture. It is not an AI-generated score.

VERSION axis-sovereignty-1.1.0BASELINE AS OF 2024-12-31

Composite Formula

AXIS = 0.25 × Infrastructure + 0.25 × Policy + 0.25 × Monetary Resilience + 0.25 × Resource & Value Capture

Within each dimension, both indicators carry 50% weight. Values are clamped to the fixed bounds below, linearly normalized to 0–100, and inverted where lower is better. The final composite is rounded to the nearest integer.

Dimensions, Inputs & Citations

Infrastructure Capacity

WEIGHT 25%

Domestic access to foundational electricity and digital infrastructure.

Access to electricity

EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS · 50% of dimension · higher is better · bounds 20100 % of population

Individuals using the Internet

IT.NET.USER.ZS · 50% of dimension · higher is better · bounds 1090 % of population

Fiscal & Policy Capacity

WEIGHT 25%

Domestic revenue capacity and freedom from external debt-service pressure.

Domestic tax revenue

GC.TAX.TOTL.GD.ZS · 50% of dimension · higher is better · bounds 530 % of GDP

External debt service burden

DT.TDS.DECT.EX.ZS · 50% of dimension · lower is better · bounds 050 % of exports

Monetary Resilience

WEIGHT 25%

Price stability and reserves available to absorb external shocks.

Consumer price inflation

FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG · 50% of dimension · lower is better · bounds 025 annual %

Reserve adequacy

FI.RES.TOTL.MO · 50% of dimension · higher is better · bounds 012 months of imports

Resource Endowment & Value Capture

WEIGHT 25%

Natural-resource endowment balanced with domestic manufacturing value capture.

Natural resource endowment

NY.GDP.TOTL.RT.ZS · 50% of dimension · higher is better · bounds 030 % of GDP in rents

Domestic manufacturing value capture

NV.IND.MANF.ZS · 50% of dimension · higher is better · bounds 225 % of GDP

Missing Data & Coverage

A missing observation receives only that World Bank indicator's fixed bundled-baseline median normalized value. Imputed values affect the score but not coverage or source recency; every imputation includes its method and donor count.

Coverage is the sum of non-imputed indicator weights divided by all indicator weights.

Confidence

Overall confidence = coverage × 0.95 source quality × weighted observation recency. Recency is 1.0 for 2024+, then falls 0.1 per year to a 0.5 floor.

High confidence is ≥ 0.80, medium is 0.60–0.79, and low is below 0.60. The API identifies every imputed input and returns country-level coverage, confidence, sources, observation years, and methodology version.

Sovereignty Classifications

OPTIMAL
75–100
STABLE
60–74
IMPROVING
51–59
EXTRACTIVE
0–50

Status is derived exclusively from the published numeric score.

Provenance & Limitations

The bundled baseline contains the latest available 2019–2024 observations retrieved from the World Bank Indicator API on 2026-07-16. Fixed normalization bounds make the same inputs produce the same score and allow historical comparisons without cross-country rank drift. The score is a strategic analytical aid, not investment advice, and does not claim to directly observe every aspect of sovereignty.

Machine-readable methodology and country-level evidence: /api/public/scores

© 2026 AXIS AFRICA · axis-sovereignty-1.1.0